Research Summary
Analyzed using Evidence Intelligence™

Oral semaglutide may improve cardiovascular event prevention in type 2 diabetes.

Key finding

The trial aims to assess the primary prevention of cardiovascular events.

The ASCEND PLUS trial evaluated oral semaglutide for preventing cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes but found no significant benefits.

Evidence strength

Moderate confidence

Study type

RCTs

Follow-up

Short-Term (≤3 mo)

Some Concerns bias
Last updated July 8, 2026

Quick read

Study at a glance

The essential study design details in one scan.

Population

Young Adult (19–39), Middle Aged (40-64), Male, Female, Asia-Pacific (APAC), with T2 Diabetes

Intervention

Oral Semaglutide

Study type

RCTs

Follow-up

Short-Term (≤3 mo)

Primary outcome

Incidence of cardiovascular events

Comparator

Standard care for diabetes management

Plain-language summary

What this paper says

A plain-language read of the study's main message and where it applies.

Study focus

The ASCEND PLUS trial evaluated oral semaglutide for preventing cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes but found no significant benefits.

Clinical relevance

Understanding the effectiveness of treatments like oral semaglutide is crucial for managing type 2 diabetes and preventing cardiovascular complications. The findings suggest that while semaglutide is a valuable medication for diabetes management, it may not provide additional cardiovascular protection, highlighting the need for further research into effective prevention strategies.

Keep in mind

The study may have limited generalizability due to specific inclusion criteria. The sample size and duration may not have been sufficient to detect subtle effects. Outcomes were primarily focused on cardiovascular events, potentially overlooking other benefits.

Published in

Journal Reference

Publication details and source links for this paper.

Muram E, Rohan W, David P, et al. ASCEND PLUS: A randomised controlled trial assessing the effects of oral semaglutide on the primary prevention of cardiovascular events in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Trials. 2024;25:554. doi:10.1186/s13063-024-08393-2

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Main Effects

No significant difference in the incidence of cardiovascular events.

No significant difference in non-cardiovascular death rates.

No significant difference in hospitalization for cardiovascular disease.

Evidence network

How this study fits

Understand where this research contributes within the broader evidence network.

Evidence Context

This study contributes evidence to Semaglutide and Blood lactate concentration, Cardiovascular events, Cardiovascular mortality, and 6 more.

Primary intervention

Semaglutide

Primary outcomes

  • Blood lactate concentration
  • Cardiovascular events
  • Cardiovascular mortality

Evidence relationships

Intervention and outcome relationships this study adds to the evidence network.

9
Evidence pairs
9
Relationships
2
Evidence topics
contributes_evidence

Editorial context

Why this study matters

See why this paper is useful beyond its individual results.

Evidence network role

This section describes how the study fits into the current evidence network. It does not determine whether an intervention works on its own.

Moderate contributionModerate confidenceNetwork score: 64

2

Related topics

9

Evidence pairs

75

Related studies

High relevance in at least one topic

Why it is useful

  • Contributes to 9 evidence relationships
  • Includes primary outcome data
  • Linked to 2 direct semantic evidence topics

Topic contributions

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Core evidence

Study findings

The primary outcomes reported in this study.

NoneNo Change

Blood lactate concentration

Semaglutide → Blood lactate concentration

Semaglutide → Blood lactate concentration

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeMetabolic Health
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StrongDecrease

Cardiovascular events

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular events

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular events

Evidence profile

StrongDecreaseClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Cardiovascular mortality

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular mortality

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular mortality

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Composite cardiovascular events (CV death, MI, stroke, HF hospitalization)

Semaglutide → Composite cardiovascular events (CV death, MI, stroke, HF hospitalization)

Semaglutide → Composite cardiovascular events (CV death, MI, stroke, HF hospitalization)

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease

Semaglutide → Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease

Semaglutide → Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Incidence of non-cardiovascular death

Semaglutide → Incidence of non-cardiovascular death

Semaglutide → Incidence of non-cardiovascular death

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Incidence of vascular events within 90 days

Semaglutide → Incidence of vascular events within 90 days

Semaglutide → Incidence of vascular events within 90 days

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

Semaglutide → Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

Semaglutide → Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Relative risk reduction for major renal events

Semaglutide → Relative risk reduction for major renal events

Semaglutide → Relative risk reduction for major renal events

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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evidence suggest

Evidence Suggest

  • Oral semaglutide did not significantly reduce cardiovascular event incidence.
  • No significant differences in hospitalization rates for cardiovascular disease were observed.
  • Cardiovascular mortality rates showed no significant change.
who this applies

Who this applies to

  • Adults diagnosed with type 2 diabetes.
  • Individuals at risk for cardiovascular events.
keep in mind

Keep in Mind

  • The findings are specific to the population studied and may not apply to all individuals with diabetes.
  • The trial's outcomes did not account for potential long-term effects of oral semaglutide.
  • Further research is needed to explore other potential benefits of semaglutide beyond cardiovascular prevention.
between the lines

Between the Lines

  • The study may have limited generalizability due to specific inclusion criteria.
  • The sample size and duration may not have been sufficient to detect subtle effects.
  • Outcomes were primarily focused on cardiovascular events, potentially overlooking other benefits.

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Connected Evidence

Explore related studies, evidence collections, and research questions.

Relationships organized using the Dediabetes Evidence Intelligence™ framework.

This study contributes to evidence on GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardiovascular Outcomes, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

Related evidence relationships

Explore in Evidence Archive

This study contributes to the evidence on the following intervention-outcome relationships.

Questions answered by this study

Generated from the study's connected evidence using Evidence Intelligence™.

Does GLP-1 Receptor Agonists improve cardiovascular outcomes?

Emerging Evidence

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists may improve Cardiovascular Outcomes.

ConsensusScore™: Results are generally consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Cardiovascular events

    EvidenceScore™ Moderate | EvidenceScore™ 60.6 | strong positive | ConsensusScore™ Consistent | 1 study

  2. 2

    Composite cardiovascular events (CV death, MI, stroke, HF hospitalization)

    EvidenceScore™ Emerging | EvidenceScore™ 57.7 | moderate positive | ConsensusScore™ Generally Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on 9 supporting studies with generally consistent results and a positive effect signal.

Limitations

  • Population details are unavailable.
9 supporting studiesUpdated: Jul 2026

Does Semaglutide improve major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained egfr decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes?

Emerging Evidence

Semaglutide may improve Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes.

ConsensusScore™: Results are mixed and should be interpreted cautiously.

Evidence caveat: The available evidence reports mixed findings.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

    EvidenceScore™ Emerging | EvidenceScore™ 47.8 | moderate positive | ConsensusScore™ Mixed | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is cautious because the available studies report mixed findings.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026

Does Semaglutide improve relative risk reduction for major renal events?

Emerging Evidence

Semaglutide may improve Relative risk reduction for major renal events.

ConsensusScore™: Results are mixed and should be interpreted cautiously.

Evidence caveat: The available evidence reports mixed findings.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Relative risk reduction for major renal events

    EvidenceScore™ Emerging | EvidenceScore™ 47.8 | moderate positive | ConsensusScore™ Mixed | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is cautious because the available studies report mixed findings.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026

Does Semaglutide improve cardiovascular mortality?

Limited Evidence

Current evidence does not show a clear benefit of Semaglutide for Cardiovascular mortality.

ConsensusScore™: Results are consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Cardiovascular mortality

    EvidenceScore™ Limited | EvidenceScore™ 39.7 | neutral | ConsensusScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on a single supporting study.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026
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