Research Summary
Analyzed using Evidence Intelligence™

Oral semaglutide may improve cardiovascular event prevention in type 2 diabetes.

Last updated July 8, 2026

Key finding

The trial aims to assess the primary prevention of cardiovascular events.

The ASCEND PLUS trial evaluated oral semaglutide for preventing cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes but found no significant benefits.

Quick read

Study at a glance

The essential study design details in one scan.

EvidenceScore™

Moderate

Study type

RCTs

Follow-up

Short-Term (≤3 mo)

Risk of bias

Some Concerns

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Plain-language summary

What this paper says

A plain-language read of the study’s main message and where it applies.

Study focus

The ASCEND PLUS trial evaluated oral semaglutide for preventing cardiovascular events in type 2 diabetes but found no significant benefits.

Clinical relevance

Understanding the effectiveness of treatments like oral semaglutide is crucial for managing type 2 diabetes and preventing cardiovascular complications. The findings suggest that while semaglutide is a valuable medication for diabetes management, it may not provide additional cardiovascular protection, highlighting the need for further research into effective prevention strategies.

Keep in mind

The study may have limited generalizability due to specific inclusion criteria. The sample size and duration may not have been sufficient to detect subtle effects. Outcomes were primarily focused on cardiovascular events, potentially overlooking other benefits.

Published in

Journal Reference

Publication details and source links for this paper.

Muram E, Rohan W, David P, et al. ASCEND PLUS: A randomised controlled trial assessing the effects of oral semaglutide on the primary prevention of cardiovascular events in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Trials. 2024;25:554. doi:10.1186/s13063-024-08393-2

Main Effects

No significant difference in the incidence of cardiovascular events.

No significant difference in non-cardiovascular death rates.

No significant difference in hospitalization for cardiovascular disease.

Evidence network

How this study fits

Understand where this research contributes within the broader evidence network.

Evidence Context

This study contributes evidence to Semaglutide and Blood lactate concentration, Cardiovascular events, Cardiovascular mortality, and 6 more.

Primary intervention

Semaglutide

Primary outcomes

  • Blood lactate concentration
  • Cardiovascular events
  • Cardiovascular mortality

Evidence relationships

Intervention and outcome relationships this study adds to the evidence network.

9
Evidence pairs
9
Relationships
2
Evidence topics
contributes_evidence

Editorial context

Why this study matters

See why this paper is useful beyond its individual results.

Evidence network role

This section describes how the study fits into the current evidence network. It does not determine whether an intervention works on its own.

Moderate contributionModerate confidenceNetwork score: 64

2

Related topics

9

Evidence pairs

109

Related studies

High relevance in at least one topic

Why it is useful

  • Contributes to 9 evidence relationships
  • Includes primary outcome data
  • Linked to 2 direct semantic evidence topics

Topic contributions

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Add related evidence to your Evidence Tracker

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Primary evidence

Evidence relationship

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardiovascular Outcomes

Related evidence

Evidence topic

Cardiovascular Risk

Save evidence

Evidence topic

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists

Save evidence

Core evidence

Study findings

The primary outcomes reported in this study.

Blood lactate concentration

Semaglutide → Blood lactate concentration

Semaglutide → Blood lactate concentration

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
50
Neutral
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Cardiovascular events

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular events

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular events

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Strong
Score 79 · Based on 3 studies
ImpactScore™
100
Very Positive
ConsistencyScore™
100
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 3 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Cardiovascular mortality

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular mortality

Semaglutide → Cardiovascular mortality

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Moderate
Score 69 · Based on 2 studies
ImpactScore™
50
Neutral
ConsistencyScore™
100
consistent
Supporting studies: Based on 2 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease

Semaglutide → Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease

Semaglutide → Hospitalization for any cardiovascular disease

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
50
Neutral
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Incidence of non-cardiovascular death

Semaglutide → Incidence of non-cardiovascular death

Semaglutide → Incidence of non-cardiovascular death

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
50
Neutral
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Incidence of vascular events within 90 days

Semaglutide → Incidence of vascular events within 90 days

Semaglutide → Incidence of vascular events within 90 days

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Emerging
Score 59 · Based on 1 study
ImpactScore™
50
Neutral
ConsistencyScore™
unclear
Not enough independent studies
Supporting studies: Based on 1 study
Add to Evidence Tracker

Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

Semaglutide → Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

Semaglutide → Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Moderate
Score 69 · Based on 2 studies
ImpactScore™
75
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
35
mixed
Supporting studies: Based on 2 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Relative risk reduction for major renal events

Semaglutide → Relative risk reduction for major renal events

Semaglutide → Relative risk reduction for major renal events

Evidence Intelligence™
EvidenceScore™
Moderate
Score 69 · Based on 2 studies
ImpactScore™
75
Positive
ConsistencyScore™
35
mixed
Supporting studies: Based on 2 studies
Add to Evidence Tracker

Evidence Library

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evidence suggest

Evidence Suggest

  • Oral semaglutide did not significantly reduce cardiovascular event incidence.
  • No significant differences in hospitalization rates for cardiovascular disease were observed.
  • Cardiovascular mortality rates showed no significant change.
who this applies

Who this applies to

  • Adults diagnosed with type 2 diabetes.
  • Individuals at risk for cardiovascular events.
keep in mind

Keep in Mind

  • The findings are specific to the population studied and may not apply to all individuals with diabetes.
  • The trial's outcomes did not account for potential long-term effects of oral semaglutide.
  • Further research is needed to explore other potential benefits of semaglutide beyond cardiovascular prevention.
between the lines

Between the Lines

  • The study may have limited generalizability due to specific inclusion criteria.
  • The sample size and duration may not have been sufficient to detect subtle effects.
  • Outcomes were primarily focused on cardiovascular events, potentially overlooking other benefits.

Evidence Library

Build your evidence library

Save research, organize studies, and quickly find important evidence again.

Connected Evidence

Explore related studies, evidence collections, and research questions.

Relationships organized using the Dediabetes Evidence Intelligence™ framework.

This study contributes to evidence on GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardiovascular Outcomes, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists and Cardiovascular Outcomes.

Related evidence relationships

Explore in Evidence Explorer

This study contributes to the evidence on the following intervention-outcome relationships.

Questions answered by this study

Generated from the study's connected evidence using Evidence Intelligence™.

Does GLP-1 Receptor Agonists improve cardiovascular outcomes?

Strong Evidence

GLP-1 Receptor Agonists may improve Cardiovascular Outcomes.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are mixed and should be interpreted cautiously.

Evidence caveat: The available evidence reports mixed findings.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Composite cardiovascular events (CV death, MI, stroke, HF hospitalization)

    EvidenceScore™ Strong | EvidenceScore™ 83.2 | strong positive | ConsistencyScore™ Generally Consistent | 1 study

  2. 2

    Cardiovascular events

    EvidenceScore™ Strong | EvidenceScore™ 79.0 | strong positive | ConsistencyScore™ Consistent | 1 study

  3. 3

    Cardiovascular mortality

    EvidenceScore™ Moderate | EvidenceScore™ 69.0 | neutral | ConsistencyScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is cautious because the available studies report mixed findings.

Limitations

  • Population details are unavailable.
12 supporting studiesUpdated: Aug 2026

Does Semaglutide improve major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained egfr decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes?

Moderate Evidence

Semaglutide may improve Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are mixed and should be interpreted cautiously.

Evidence caveat: The available evidence reports mixed findings.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Major kidney disease events composite including end-stage renal disease, sustained eGFR decline, and death from renal or cardiovascular causes

    EvidenceScore™ Moderate | EvidenceScore™ 69.0 | moderate positive | ConsistencyScore™ Mixed | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is cautious because the available studies report mixed findings.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Aug 2026

Does Semaglutide improve relative risk reduction for major renal events?

Moderate Evidence

Semaglutide may improve Relative risk reduction for major renal events.

ConsistencyScore™: Results are mixed and should be interpreted cautiously.

Evidence caveat: The available evidence reports mixed findings.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Relative risk reduction for major renal events

    EvidenceScore™ Moderate | EvidenceScore™ 69.0 | moderate positive | ConsistencyScore™ Mixed | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is cautious because the available studies report mixed findings.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Aug 2026

Does Semaglutide improve blood lactate concentration?

Emerging Evidence

Current evidence does not show a clear benefit of Semaglutide for Blood lactate concentration.

ConsistencyScore™: Consistency cannot yet be determined from the available evidence.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Blood lactate concentration

    EvidenceScore™ Emerging | EvidenceScore™ 59.0 | neutral | ConsistencyScore™ Unclear | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on a single supporting study.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Consistency cannot yet be determined.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Aug 2026
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