Research Summary
Analyzed using Evidence Intelligence™

Eldecalcitol may reduce diabetes risk in pre-diabetics with low insulin

Key finding

Hazard ratio 0.87, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 1.17; P=0.39

This study evaluated the effectiveness of eldecalcitol in preventing type 2 diabetes in adults with impaired glucose tolerance. It found no significant difference in diabetes incidence between eldecalcitol and placebo groups.

Evidence strength

Moderate confidence

Study type

RCTs

Follow-up

Long-Term (1–5 y)

Some Concerns bias
Last updated July 6, 2026

Quick read

Study at a glance

The essential study design details in one scan.

Population

Young Adult (19–39), Middle Aged (40-64), Male, Female, Asia-Pacific (APAC), with T2 Diabetes

Intervention

Eldecalcitol, Placebo

Study type

RCTs

Follow-up

Long-Term (1–5 y)

Primary outcome

Incidence of type 2 diabetes

Comparator

Placebo group

Plain-language summary

What this paper says

A plain-language read of the study's main message and where it applies.

Study focus

This study evaluated the effectiveness of eldecalcitol in preventing type 2 diabetes in adults with impaired glucose tolerance. It found no significant difference in diabetes incidence between eldecalcitol and placebo groups.

Clinical relevance

Understanding whether eldecalcitol can prevent type 2 diabetes is crucial, especially for individuals with impaired glucose tolerance who are at higher risk. The findings suggest that while eldecalcitol may improve bone health, it may not be effective for diabetes prevention, highlighting the need for alternative strategies in managing diabetes risk.

Keep in mind

The study's follow-up duration may not capture long-term effects. Results may not be generalizable to populations outside the study sample. Effectiveness of eldecalcitol for diabetes prevention remains unclear.

Published in

Journal Reference

Publication details and source links for this paper.

Tetsuya K, Gen S, Shoichi M, et al. Eldecalcitol for the prevention of type 2 diabetes in adults with impaired glucose tolerance: a randomized controlled trial. The BMJ. 2022;377:e066222. doi:10.1136/bmj-2021-066222

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Main Effects

Eldecalcitol group had a 12.5% incidence of type 2 diabetes compared to 14.2% in the placebo group (hazard ratio 0.87).

23.0% of eldecalcitol participants achieved regression to normoglycaemia versus 20.1% in the placebo group (hazard ratio 1.15).

Bone mineral density of lumbar spine and femoral neck significantly increased with eldecalcitol (P<0.001).

Evidence network

How this study fits

Understand where this research contributes within the broader evidence network.

Evidence Context

This study contributes evidence to Eldecalcitol and Bone mineral density (BMD), Regression to normoglycaemia, Serum osteocalcin, and 1 more.

Primary intervention

Eldecalcitol

Primary outcomes

  • Bone mineral density (BMD)
  • Regression to normoglycaemia
  • Serum osteocalcin

Evidence relationships

Intervention and outcome relationships this study adds to the evidence network.

4
Evidence pairs
4
Relationships
1
Evidence topics
contributes_evidence

Editorial context

Why this study matters

See why this paper is useful beyond its individual results.

Evidence network role

This section describes how the study fits into the current evidence network. It does not determine whether an intervention works on its own.

Moderate contributionModerate confidenceNetwork score: 59

1

Related topics

4

Evidence pairs

3

Related studies

High relevance in at least one topic

Why it is useful

  • Contributes to 4 evidence relationships
  • Includes primary outcome data
  • Linked to 1 direct semantic evidence topic

Topic contributions

Evidence topic

Contributes evidence

Core evidence

Study findings

The primary outcomes reported in this study.

StrongIncrease

Bone mineral density (BMD)

Eldecalcitol → Bone mineral density (BMD)

Eldecalcitol → Bone mineral density (BMD)

Evidence profile

StrongIncreaseClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Regression to normoglycaemia

Eldecalcitol → Regression to normoglycaemia

Eldecalcitol → Regression to normoglycaemia

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeGlycemic Control
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StrongIncrease

Serum osteocalcin

Eldecalcitol → Serum osteocalcin

Eldecalcitol → Serum osteocalcin

Evidence profile

StrongIncreaseClinical Outcomes
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NoneNo Change

Type 2 diabetes incidence

Eldecalcitol → Type 2 diabetes incidence

Eldecalcitol → Type 2 diabetes incidence

Evidence profile

NoneNo ChangeClinical Outcomes
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evidence suggest

Evidence Suggest

  • Eldecalcitol did not significantly reduce diabetes incidence (hazard ratio 0.87, p=0.39).
  • Improved bone mineral density was observed with eldecalcitol (all P<0.001).
  • Regression to normoglycaemia was slightly higher in the eldecalcitol group (23.0% vs. 20.1%).
who this applies

Who this applies to

  • Adults aged 18-75 with impaired glucose tolerance.
  • Individuals at risk for developing type 2 diabetes.
keep in mind

Keep in Mind

  • The study did not measure long-term diabetes outcomes beyond 2.9 years.
  • The sample may not represent all demographics at risk for diabetes.
  • Further research is needed to explore alternative diabetes prevention strategies.
between the lines

Between the Lines

  • The study's follow-up duration may not capture long-term effects.
  • Results may not be generalizable to populations outside the study sample.
  • Effectiveness of eldecalcitol for diabetes prevention remains unclear.

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Connected Evidence

Explore related studies, evidence collections, and research questions.

Relationships organized using the Dediabetes Evidence Intelligence™ framework.

This study contributes to evidence on Eldecalcitol and Bone Mineral Density, Eldecalcitol and Serum osteocalcin.

Related evidence relationships

Explore in Evidence Archive

This study contributes to the evidence on the following intervention-outcome relationships.

Questions answered by this study

Generated from the study's connected evidence using Evidence Intelligence™.

Does Eldecalcitol improve bone mineral density (bmd)?

Emerging Evidence

Eldecalcitol appears to improve Bone mineral density (BMD).

ConsensusScore™: Results are consistent across studies.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Bone mineral density (BMD)

    EvidenceScore™ Emerging | EvidenceScore™ 55.7 | strong positive | ConsensusScore™ Consistent | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on a single supporting study.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026

Does Eldecalcitol improve serum osteocalcin?

Emerging Evidence

Eldecalcitol appears to improve Serum osteocalcin.

ConsensusScore™: Consistency cannot yet be determined from the available evidence.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Serum osteocalcin

    EvidenceScore™ Emerging | EvidenceScore™ 55.7 | strong positive | ConsensusScore™ Unclear | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on a single supporting study.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Consistency cannot yet be determined.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026

Does Eldecalcitol improve regression to normoglycaemia?

Limited Evidence

Current evidence does not show a clear benefit of Eldecalcitol for Regression to normoglycaemia.

ConsensusScore™: Consistency cannot yet be determined from the available evidence.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Regression to normoglycaemia

    EvidenceScore™ Limited | EvidenceScore™ 38.1 | neutral | ConsensusScore™ Unclear | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on a single supporting study.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Consistency cannot yet be determined.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026

Does Eldecalcitol improve type 2 diabetes incidence?

Limited Evidence

Current evidence does not show a clear benefit of Eldecalcitol for Type 2 diabetes incidence.

ConsensusScore™: Consistency cannot yet be determined from the available evidence.

Ranked evidence signals

  1. 1

    Type 2 diabetes incidence

    EvidenceScore™ Limited | EvidenceScore™ 38.1 | neutral | ConsensusScore™ Unclear | 1 study

Why this answer: This answer is based on a single supporting study.

Limitations

  • Only one supporting study is available.
  • Consistency cannot yet be determined.
  • Population details are unavailable.
1 supporting studyUpdated: Jul 2026
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